reppp
0x49206705d0683488a601652b00e5ac57864e2ef4
- Realised P&L
- $-36.8k
- Volume
- $1.61M
- Markets traded
- 918
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded918
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.437Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29?
- +$5.5kat 0.487Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$3.8kat 0.496Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
- +$3.7kat 0.485Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?
- +$2.8kat 0.649Sabres vs. Golden Knights
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:22 | Will Cuba win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8545876116 | $120.00 |
| 10-05 20:25 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8899999978 | $240.00 |
| 10-05 20:25 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8899999981 | $250.00 |
| 10-05 20:21 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.9 | $400.00 |
| 10-05 20:21 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $400.00 |
| 10-05 20:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.46 | $93.51 |
| 10-05 19:23 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 18:58 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8699999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-05 17:48 | Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8699999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-05 17:47 | Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8145204973 | $110.00 |
| 10-05 15:06 | Will Armenia win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 14:54 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.02 | $13.48 |
| 10-05 14:44 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8 | $150.00 |
| 10-05 14:43 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8 | $400.00 |
| 10-05 14:41 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.9199999999 | $620.00 |