PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

FluffyMD2026

0x491f0e7ca43a717e72346b37146c0ed3f9b5c959

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$114.0k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$9.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2930.295$4.4k+$25.11
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2090.195$2.8k−$198.88
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2500.255$1.3k+$25.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0700.055$550.00−$150.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up0.7600.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:16Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.7599999964$25.00
10-31 22:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.4799999939$25.00
10-31 16:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.5499999934$25.00
10-31 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5299999924$25.00
10-31 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETSELL0.19$13.57
10-31 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.3499999972$25.00
10-31 15:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.3699999976$25.00
10-31 15:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.3699999976$25.00
10-31 15:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.5$25.00
10-31 13:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.3837827178$25.00
10-31 13:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.7899999956$25.00
10-31 13:21Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.2088451905$3.0k
10-31 13:20Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.993$3.6k
10-30 12:05Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9928707581$13.3k
10-28 20:42Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.996$4.5k
Trader FluffyMD2026 · PolyBot Pro