PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fjvasnjv

0x491630a055b1cb2d21b9cbc026b99da29292f78f

Realised P&L
$-421.01
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
797
Open portfolio
$32.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded797
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.1790.982$10.97+$8.97
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.3200.987$6.17+$4.17
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0760.125$3.28+$1.28
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.0350.043$2.44+$0.44
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.0140.015$2.12+$0.12
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.0840.063$1.49$0.51
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0890.061$1.37$0.63
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.4100.260$1.27$0.73
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.2200.125$1.14$0.86
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.2300.130$1.13$0.87
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.1230.058$0.93$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 6? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs · QUAZAR0.2800.000$0.00$4.00
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs · SK Nebula0.3600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 10:01Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.0839999993$2.00
09-23 09:37Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.45$2.14
09-23 09:31Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.52$1.96
09-23 09:12LoL: Cupid Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CBUY0.3599999712$3.00
09-23 09:12LoL: Cupid Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CBUY0.3799999924$3.00
09-23 06:13LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DBUY0.2099999895$3.00
09-23 06:13LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DBUY0.2199999941$3.00
09-23 02:19Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.0349029985$2.00
09-23 00:13Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.0141783638$2.00
09-23 00:13Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.4099999816$2.00
09-22 23:14Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-22 23:14Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-22 21:24Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.38$6.97
09-22 20:08Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.004$0.09
09-22 20:07Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00