cesarv
0x49130d5a1080a008e3b510e2489f3433d32ade11
- Realised P&L
- $-30.33
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $17.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.790 | 0.785 | $3.92 | −$0.03 |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.790 | 0.775 | $3.88 | −$0.07 |
| Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs · Turma do Pagode | 0.760 | 0.755 | $3.77 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 25? · No | 0.770 | 0.955 | $3.53 | +$0.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25? · No | 0.770 | 0.410 | $2.05 | −$1.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 23? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 23? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.60at 0.612Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-09-09?
- +$6.37at 0.602Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-09-09?
- +$5.43at 0.582Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$4.70at 0.572Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$4.60at 0.671Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-09-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:05 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-25 18:58 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-25 16:57 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-25 16:49 | Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs ILLYRIANS (+1.5) | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-25 16:09 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-25 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-25 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-25 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-25 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-25 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-25 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.85 |
| 09-25 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-25 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-25 05:57 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |