overwhelmingv2
0x49122a0f385cac496cd4d9dbf7f409f9c5c198a3
- Realised P&L
- $-20.56
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $62.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 23?
- +$2.55at 0.798Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12?
- +$1.63at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22?
- +$1.61at 0.862Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 12?
- +$1.51at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.9799991964 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 10:32 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.997999012 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |