nbd555
0x49121429ada648349fc8fb3ae1aa818af2efc209
- Realised P&L
- $-549.40
- Volume
- $41.4k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $0.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.09at 0.171Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$114.54at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$105.07at 0.327Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$84.52at 0.159Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
- +$80.64at 0.113Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.0401716069 | $3.09 |
| 07-19 21:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:22 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | SELL | 0.38 | $12.11 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9025 | $28.88 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0674999938 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0175 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1516542838 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:59 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1210507203 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:56 | Argentina to score first vs. Spain? | BUY | 0.1733590734 | $3.14 |
| 07-19 20:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.1125 | $4.24 |
| 07-19 20:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:52 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1356523368 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 20:50 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0229804373 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 20:49 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 20:49 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.71 |