PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nbd555

0x49121429ada648349fc8fb3ae1aa818af2efc209

Realised P&L
$-549.40
Volume
$41.4k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$0.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0850.002$0.35$19.65
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$20.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3970.000$0.00$10.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:01Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?SELL0.0401716069$3.09
07-19 21:55Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-19 21:22Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?SELL0.38$12.11
07-19 21:10Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.9025$28.88
07-19 21:10Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0674999938$10.00
07-19 21:09Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.0175$10.00
07-19 21:06Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsBUY0.1516542838$10.00
07-19 20:59Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.1210507203$10.00
07-19 20:56Argentina to score first vs. Spain?BUY0.1733590734$3.14
07-19 20:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.1125$4.24
07-19 20:53Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-19 20:52Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1356523368$20.00
07-19 20:50Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0229804373$20.00
07-19 20:49Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.2599999935$20.00
07-19 20:49Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?SELL0.013$3.71