0x491112d0630652b626ad48a6d4e822c31407bbf7
0x491112d0630652b626ad48a6d4e822c31407bbf7
- Realised P&L
- $-769.34
- Volume
- $777.0k
- Markets traded
- 399
- Open portfolio
- $65.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded399
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.79at 0.001Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?
- +$17.40at 0.110Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET
- +$15.77at 0.120XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET
- +$13.78at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET
- +$13.61at 0.431Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-12 21:31 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 10:32 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:36 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:29 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:57 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:00 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:49 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:30 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:59 | Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 01:58 | Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |