PolyBot

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Traders

0x491112d0630652b626ad48a6d4e822c31407bbf7

0x491112d0630652b626ad48a6d4e822c31407bbf7

Realised P&L
$-769.34
Volume
$777.0k
Markets traded
399
Open portfolio
$65.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded399
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 14?BUY0.001$1.09
10-12 21:31Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$1.00
10-12 10:32Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$1.00
10-11 11:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 12?BUY0.001$1.00
10-10 11:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 11?BUY0.001$1.00
10-08 08:36Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-07 11:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7?BUY0.001$1.00
10-06 09:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 6?BUY0.001$1.00
10-05 11:29Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-04 12:57Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$1.00
10-03 16:00Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
10-03 10:49Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-02 08:30Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-01 01:59Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$2.00
10-01 01:58Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$5.00