PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x49110274d3dC36ae063DbbB54a853aa0b6e27Ba8-1781188627070

0x49110274d3dc36ae063dbbb54a853aa0b6e27ba8

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$255.8k
Markets traded
250
Open portfolio
$0.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded250
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.001$0.02−$9.98
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3080.000$0.00−$600.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up0.2830.000$0.00−$19.90
Canada vs. Peru: O/U 4.5 · Over0.2600.000$0.00−$40.00
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$300.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$470.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00
Belgium vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$300.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$28.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$300.00
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.5600.000$0.00−$430.00
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2200.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:44Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC end in a draw?BUY0.32$10.00
10-03 20:34Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$65.71
10-03 20:31North Macedonia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5SELL0.999$57.49
10-03 20:20Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5SELL0.441320132$33.43
10-03 20:08Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5BUY0.759999997$50.00
10-03 20:07North Macedonia vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5BUY0.7096524761$40.84
10-03 20:06Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5BUY0.6599999979$50.00
10-03 18:53Canada vs. Peru: O/U 4.5BUY0.2599999997$40.00
10-03 18:53Canada vs. Peru: O/U 3.5BUY0.5199999995$40.00
10-03 18:52Canada vs. Peru: O/U 1.5SELL0.99$267.57
10-03 17:55Canada vs. Peru: O/U 2.5BUY0.4799999972$55.00
10-03 17:55Canada vs. Peru: O/U 1.5BUY0.7399999998$200.00
10-03 17:37Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5BUY0.3899999945$10.00
10-03 17:30Estonia vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5BUY0.5$10.00
10-03 17:29Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 1.5SELL0.999$128.07