sugermen
0x490e90f196d36b710bbd4ed2a249d406b93142f1
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $558.6k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.006Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?
- +$546.29at 0.437Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$450.00at 0.400Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$269.99at 0.550US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$237.83at 0.587Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:57 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 09-19 20:52 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 14:48 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.22 | $94.72 |
| 09-19 14:47 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.22 | $19.29 |
| 09-18 21:25 | AA Coimbra to score first vs. Real SC? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-18 21:24 | Real SC vs. AA Coimbra: AA Coimbra O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-18 20:54 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 19:38 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.51 |
| 09-18 19:37 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.2980330882 | $810.65 |
| 09-18 19:29 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.23 | $58.77 |
| 09-18 19:01 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.983 | $4.92 |
| 09-17 21:15 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.0495177061 | $69.08 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.35 | $56.64 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.66 | $98.57 |
| 09-16 20:09 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.005 | $17.24 |