PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x490993679361Db51968F5ffdd7021DBfDAf8005b-1766993551673

0x490993679361db51968f5ffdd7021dbfdaf8005b

Realised P&L
$-327.52
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
393
Open portfolio
$0.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded393
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 03:48Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18?BUY0.014$0.42
10-18 02:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.29$2.90
10-18 02:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.2854212454$3.12
10-18 02:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.36$2.88
10-18 02:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.357$1.78
10-18 02:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.358$3.58
10-18 02:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.357$1.78
10-18 02:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.357$1.78
10-16 06:45Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 16?BUY0.09$1.35
10-16 03:35Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 16?SELL0.07675$3.07
10-16 03:23Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?BUY0.4$8.00
10-16 02:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?SELL0.22$8.80
10-15 04:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15?SELL0.23$1.30
10-15 03:38Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15?BUY0.22$4.84
10-15 03:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?BUY0.48$4.80