0x490993679361Db51968F5ffdd7021DBfDAf8005b-1766993551673
0x490993679361db51968f5ffdd7021dbfdaf8005b
- Realised P&L
- $-327.52
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 393
- Open portfolio
- $0.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded393
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.88at 0.232Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?
- +$28.60at 0.202Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 6?
- +$25.58at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 21?
- +$25.11at 0.414Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5?
- +$22.80at 0.356Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.42 |
| 10-18 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-18 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2854212454 | $3.12 |
| 10-18 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 10-18 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.357 | $1.78 |
| 10-18 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.358 | $3.58 |
| 10-18 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.357 | $1.78 |
| 10-18 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.357 | $1.78 |
| 10-16 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 10-16 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.07675 | $3.07 |
| 10-16 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-16 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 10-15 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.30 |
| 10-15 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.84 |
| 10-15 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |