PolyBot

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Traders

08AF

0x49007e1e636d0e922d0122a02ea743e41d194a72

Realised P&L
$-417.5k
Volume
$21.56M
Markets traded
851
Open portfolio
$18.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded851
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.8700.964$18.1k+$1.7k
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9560.995$434.15+$16.93
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9810.000$0.00$24.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 06:41Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5BUY0.981$24.5k
06-14 06:48Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.943$12.3k
06-14 06:47Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.942$4.4k
06-14 06:47Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.942$6.6k
06-14 04:22Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.937$93.70
06-11 06:31Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.814$2.0k
06-11 06:10Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.87$2.0k
06-09 02:02Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.8209842857$574.69
06-09 02:02Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.82$6.59
06-09 02:02Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.821$1.3k
06-09 02:01Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.821$10.67
06-09 02:01Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.8209896$1.0k
06-09 02:01Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.825$12.2k
06-09 02:01Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.825$1.0k
06-09 02:01Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.829$561.10