08AF
0x49007e1e636d0e922d0122a02ea743e41d194a72
- Realised P&L
- $-417.5k
- Volume
- $21.56M
- Markets traded
- 851
- Open portfolio
- $18.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded851
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.964 | $18.1k | +$1.7k |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No | 0.956 | 0.995 | $434.15 | +$16.93 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.4kat 0.650Magic vs. Pistons
- +$80.7kat 0.671Spurs vs. Nuggets
- +$68.3kat 0.749Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry
- +$66.9kat 0.696Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$62.2kat 0.833Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 06:41 | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.981 | $24.5k |
| 06-14 06:48 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.943 | $12.3k |
| 06-14 06:47 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.942 | $4.4k |
| 06-14 06:47 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.942 | $6.6k |
| 06-14 04:22 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.937 | $93.70 |
| 06-11 06:31 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.814 | $2.0k |
| 06-11 06:10 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.0k |
| 06-09 02:02 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8209842857 | $574.69 |
| 06-09 02:02 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.59 |
| 06-09 02:02 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.821 | $1.3k |
| 06-09 02:01 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.821 | $10.67 |
| 06-09 02:01 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8209896 | $1.0k |
| 06-09 02:01 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.825 | $12.2k |
| 06-09 02:01 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.825 | $1.0k |
| 06-09 02:01 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.829 | $561.10 |