PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zzzzzgggg

0x48fe8fa8872b73e61307b0df1a7329e8db21e6e4

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$460.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$645.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.145$464.00$144.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8620.865$91.04+$0.30
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.700$79.69+$25.04
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4860.495$6.43+$0.12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.045$2.25$0.75
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.140$1.68$0.48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.2300.000$0.00$135.16
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$20.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00$69.65
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$104.50
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.5120.000$0.00$66.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 11:22Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
06-17 16:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$2.1k
06-14 20:21Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4599999968$20.00
06-11 19:15US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999998$2.1k
05-09 06:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?SELL0.999$5.2k
02-17 00:08Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.43$1.1k
12-10 12:35Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?SELL0.9512543869$550.78
10-25 19:22Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?BUY0.11$104.50