0x48fe71db9e621f371f91819adf32d29fff64b91a
0x48fe71db9e621f371f91819adf32d29fff64b91a
- Realised P&L
- $18.99
- Volume
- $360.30
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $36.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.369 | $36.95 | +$35.95 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.04at 0.417Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
- +$11.75at 0.450Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?
- +$1.67at 0.677Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24?
- +$1.04at 0.769Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic
- +$0.41at 0.910Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Barbora Palicova
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:11 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.25 |
| 09-24 20:54 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:38 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:34 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.77 | $39.49 |
| 09-24 18:41 | Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Germany? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 09-24 18:40 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 17:47 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.91 | $25.50 |
| 09-24 16:51 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $1.80 |
| 09-24 16:14 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:12 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.81 |
| 09-24 15:28 | Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Barbora Palicova | BUY | 0.87 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 15:25 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 14:25 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.08 |
| 09-24 14:20 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 21:22 | Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |