fort.m
0x48f3a326bb957247d75ea2504a42e4e199e5a1a4
- Realised P&L
- $-764.69
- Volume
- $67.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,840
- Open portfolio
- $159.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,840
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland vs. Estonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.500 | 1.000 | $159.92 | +$79.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.89at 0.310CA River Plate vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: CA River Plate 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$163.48at 0.490Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. WKS Slask Wroclaw: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$133.98at 0.230LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner
- +$119.83at 0.401LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
- +$93.90at 0.120LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 11:06 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 20:34 | LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $5.60 |
| 09-10 18:07 | LoL: ZYB Esport vs Project Conquerors - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $3.92 |
| 09-09 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-06 18:31 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $163.84 |
| 09-05 12:19 | LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.3 | $36.00 |
| 09-03 09:17 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.48125 | $19.25 |
| 08-21 16:02 | LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 16:55 | LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.34 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 16:59 | LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3875 | $38.75 |
| 08-18 07:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 16:03 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.49375 | $19.75 |
| 08-14 15:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-09 18:10 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3964705882 | $6.74 |
| 08-09 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $6.80 |