jasonren19930915
0x48f36dfd6cfba12a1b91db2070f6c5531064874a
- Realised P&L
- $-0.38
- Volume
- $28.53
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $2.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.145 | $2.90 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.02at 0.319Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 28?
- +$-0.35at 0.962Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:10 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.03 |
| 09-28 07:43 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:11 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.66 |
| 09-28 03:04 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |