0x48f1bc56245a5a1fcb3b563e7a9b48bfba349db3
0x48f1bc56245a5a1fcb3b563e7a9b48bfba349db3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.69
- Volume
- $59.62
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.630 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.370 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
- +$1.15at 0.470Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$1.15at 0.470Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:31 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 1? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:24 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:22 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:39 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 11:53 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $316 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 21:52 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |