mianbaoxiaoziuma
0x48f04d3164ef060cb69d297097123061955e4463
- Realised P&L
- $66.23
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $11.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios · Guido Justo | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.0k | +$2.50 |
| Adana: Antonia Ruzic vs Leolia Jeanjean · Leolia Jeanjean | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.0k | +$2.50 |
| Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - FOX Legacy Cup Playoffs · Nice Try | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$0.62 |
| Will Sholing FC win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $257.04 | +$0.13 |
| Esenler Erokspor vs. Petkim Spor · Esenler Erokspor | 0.999 | 1.000 | $211.58 | +$0.11 |
| Igokea vs. BC Slovan Bratislava · Igokea | 0.999 | 1.000 | $36.06 | +$0.02 |
| Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.24at 0.998Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech
- +$6.03at 0.999China Open: Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter
- +$5.00at 0.999China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik
- +$5.00at 0.999Rangers vs. Red Wings
- +$5.00at 0.999Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 16:40 | Will Sholing FC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.999 | $256.91 |
| 10-03 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.95 |
| 10-03 16:00 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9986754825 | $2.0k |
| 10-03 16:00 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997554609 | $706.12 |
| 10-03 16:00 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9969892435 | $698.86 |
| 10-03 16:00 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9971504425 | $405.64 |
| 10-03 15:57 | Will Barrow AFC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 10-03 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 10-03 14:57 | Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.33 |
| 10-03 06:33 | Israel Election: RZP-Zehut Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.04 |
| 10-03 05:54 | China Open: Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter | BUY | 0.998732638 | $5.0k |
| 10-03 04:00 | Umia listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.998 | $192.80 |
| 10-03 04:00 | Umia listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.998 | $707.90 |
| 10-03 04:00 | Umia listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.9982 | $24.95 |
| 10-03 04:00 | Umia listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.9979300944 | $142.75 |