PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fiskalist

0x48e1758b0bfd0c26f3a2e23c63ba0671d2485582

Realised P&L
$-22.87
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$67.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.215$8.96+$3.96
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1450.184$6.36+$1.36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.635$6.23+$1.23
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0430.051$5.99+$0.99
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.145$5.18+$0.18
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.7700.795$5.16+$0.16
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.135$4.82$0.18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1650.155$4.71$0.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.135$4.50$0.50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.115$4.11$0.89
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.340$3.86$1.14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.405$3.32$1.68
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.085$3.27$1.73
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2100.060$1.43$3.57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:03Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
09-15 14:40Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu KinoshitaBUY0.3799999924$4.00
09-15 12:43Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.487$4.50
09-12 07:53Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.575$11.17
09-07 09:44Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.92$3.28
09-04 18:53Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.213$4.66
09-03 07:31US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida AguilarBUY0.4$5.00
09-02 16:12US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey RublevBUY0.33$2.30
08-27 20:53US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Storm HunterBUY0.3799999742$5.00
08-22 16:32Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.65$3.57
08-13 12:20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
08-11 16:46National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner TienBUY0.359999977$5.00
08-11 16:45Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-10 09:37Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.209999974$5.00
08-09 14:15National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida AguilarBUY0.4599999595$5.00