fiskalist
0x48e1758b0bfd0c26f3a2e23c63ba0671d2485582
- Realised P&L
- $-22.87
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $67.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.82at 0.296Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja
- +$11.63at 0.430Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$10.36at 0.126Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$10.18at 0.121Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Darja Semenistaja
- +$9.63at 0.180Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:03 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 14:40 | Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 12:43 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.487 | $4.50 |
| 09-12 07:53 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.575 | $11.17 |
| 09-07 09:44 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.28 |
| 09-04 18:53 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.213 | $4.66 |
| 09-03 07:31 | US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 16:12 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.33 | $2.30 |
| 08-27 20:53 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Storm Hunter | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 16:32 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.57 |
| 08-13 12:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 16:46 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 16:45 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 09:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 14:15 | National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |