PolyBot

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Traders

luffy168

0x48e15a3d36d48875a2ad4ceb5f34f11656987675

Realised P&L
$68.91
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$631.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7980.915$275.06+$35.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.7061.000$219.78+$64.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Up0.6611.000$135.04+$45.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.5571.000$1.70+$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.4320.000$0.00$12.95
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4? · No0.6340.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00$2.80
Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 October 20-26? · No0.6700.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET · Down0.1620.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET · Down0.5910.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4? · No0.8600.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.3830.000$0.00$39.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-25 09:38Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.9399999996$99.14
04-25 09:38Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.8700587079$98.13
04-25 09:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.8136777228$97.32
04-25 09:32Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.7099999815$9.58
04-25 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5699998233$0.94
01-31 05:53Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9790544226$100.00
01-31 05:51Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9756487654$20.00
01-31 05:50Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.976$50.00
01-31 03:43Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.991$500.00
01-30 20:27Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8$100.00
01-30 20:26Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8$100.00
01-30 20:11Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7907052597$20.00
01-30 20:10Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
01-28 09:13Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.952$100.00
01-28 09:12Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.9509999908$100.00