0x48D9fbEE837340A33010aBDbC41070b8b6a12a28-1764353750630
0x48d9fbee837340a33010abdbc41070b8b6a12a28
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $794.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$828.61at 0.247Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
- +$724.22at 0.303Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?
- +$581.42at 0.572Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament
- +$251.53at 0.566Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?
- +$226.67at 0.150Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 15:22 | Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.509021107 | $26.00 |
| 10-21 15:19 | RJ Barrett: Points O/U 18.5 | BUY | 0.4961647727 | $34.93 |
| 10-21 15:16 | Ja Morant: Assists O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5841584113 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 23:45 | Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 12:17 | Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5 | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $40.00 |
| 10-17 06:21 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-15 11:56 | Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $20.79 |
| 10-12 06:51 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.2699999996 | $149.65 |
| 09-28 14:48 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.289999999 | $30.59 |
| 09-26 04:53 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.2999999995 | $127.93 |
| 09-25 06:51 | Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.0807242115 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 06:50 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.5178364867 | $47.87 |
| 09-24 13:45 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.5899883629 | $103.81 |
| 09-24 06:11 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.75 | $43.00 |
| 09-22 09:14 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.4619461794 | $98.92 |