PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1806kmw24t0s

0x48d457e5d9152773f332d680be4042202648c5f8

Realised P&L
$-22.82
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$104.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · No0.9050.890$24.58$0.42
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5320.430$20.18$4.82
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.7490.935$18.71+$3.71
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.890$18.71$0.63
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.6400.962$8.32+$2.79
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · Yes0.7940.210$7.81$21.70
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? · No0.8000.430$5.38$4.63
Will Solana reach $120 in September? · No0.7200.232$0.37$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$1.98
09-15 18:39Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?BUY0.8$10.00
09-12 05:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$0.12
09-11 19:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$0.03
09-11 18:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$0.03
09-11 15:56Will Solana reach $120 in September?SELL0.76$9.33
09-11 12:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.37
09-07 15:18Will Solana reach $120 in September?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
09-07 15:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.14
09-07 13:39Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.23$0.17
09-07 10:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.05
09-07 09:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.05
09-06 21:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.01
09-06 18:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.03
09-06 18:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$0.02