1806kmw24t0s
0x48d457e5d9152773f332d680be4042202648c5f8
- Realised P&L
- $-22.82
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $104.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · No | 0.905 | 0.890 | $24.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.430 | $20.18 | −$4.82 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No | 0.749 | 0.935 | $18.71 | +$3.71 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.890 | $18.71 | −$0.63 |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.962 | $8.32 | +$2.79 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · Yes | 0.794 | 0.210 | $7.81 | −$21.70 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? · No | 0.800 | 0.430 | $5.38 | −$4.63 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in September? · No | 0.720 | 0.232 | $0.37 | −$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.33at 0.670Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In
- +$14.10at 0.780Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffs
- +$12.86at 0.700Iran coup attempt by June 30?
- +$10.86at 0.420Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
- +$10.09at 0.603Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.98 |
| 09-15 18:39 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 05:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.12 |
| 09-11 19:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.03 |
| 09-11 18:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.03 |
| 09-11 15:56 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | SELL | 0.76 | $9.33 |
| 09-11 12:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.37 |
| 09-07 15:18 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 15:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.14 |
| 09-07 13:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.17 |
| 09-07 10:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.05 |
| 09-07 09:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.05 |
| 09-06 21:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.01 |
| 09-06 18:53 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.03 |
| 09-06 18:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.02 |