shdwbot-1
0x48d305cda691dbc451c5232a31ee633ae18a7dcf
- Realised P&L
- $-533.66
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 777
- Open portfolio
- $75.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded777
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.21at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$56.43at 0.453Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$52.80at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$50.47at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6AM ET
- +$50.27at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2344743159 | $4.88 |
| 10-05 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.99 |
| 10-05 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.52 | $4.90 |
| 10-05 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 10-05 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-05 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.91 |
| 10-05 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.92 |
| 10-05 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.91 |
| 10-05 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.65 |
| 10-05 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9499999515 | $4.90 |
| 10-05 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999705 | $1.14 |