PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shdwbot-1

0x48d305cda691dbc451c5232a31ee633ae18a7dcf

Realised P&L
$-533.66
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
777
Open portfolio
$75.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded777
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 13:28Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.2344743159$4.88
10-05 13:26Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6?BUY0.73$4.99
10-05 13:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?BUY0.52$4.90
10-05 13:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6?BUY0.17$0.85
10-05 12:59Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6?BUY0.64$5.00
10-05 12:59Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6?BUY0.64$5.00
10-05 12:02Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 6?BUY0.56$2.80
10-05 11:51Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6?BUY0.54$4.91
10-05 11:37Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6?BUY0.56$5.00
10-05 11:29Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5?BUY0.62$4.92
10-05 11:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 6?BUY0.54$4.91
10-05 11:28Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 6?BUY0.5$5.00
10-05 10:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.9$4.65
10-05 10:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.9499999515$4.90
10-05 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.2799999705$1.14