0x48cD1ED845c52da899b65fA7CdD9B1145501852F-1781179974033
0x48cd1ed845c52da899b65fa7cdd9b1145501852f
- Realised P&L
- $9.13
- Volume
- $476.81
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $97.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? · No | 0.670 | 0.655 | $97.76 | −$2.24 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.811 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.59at 0.710Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?
- +$1.20at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$0.79at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$0.69at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$0.37at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:24 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 08:14 | Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $117.14 |
| 09-25 08:13 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.20 |
| 09-22 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:33 | Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 06:41 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.8799999854 | $4.82 |
| 09-12 13:57 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 11:10 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2424998363 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 15:01 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 15:01 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |