PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x48cD1ED845c52da899b65fA7CdD9B1145501852F-1781179974033

0x48cd1ed845c52da899b65fa7cdd9b1145501852f

Realised P&L
$9.13
Volume
$476.81
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$97.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? · No0.6700.655$97.76−$2.24
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.8110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:24Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
09-25 08:14Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?SELL0.82$117.14
09-25 08:13Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?SELL0.95$5.20
09-22 20:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-21 23:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00
09-21 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-21 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.91$1.00
09-21 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-21 21:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.2$1.00
09-19 15:33Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?BUY0.6999999993$100.00
09-19 06:41Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?BUY0.8799999854$4.82
09-12 13:57Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.8$3.00
07-10 11:10Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2424998363$1.00
07-07 15:01Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.619999969$2.00
07-07 15:01Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.74$2.00