qQWQq
0x48c6fd71ba1987fedcef8f835608452dc4a7d483
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $224.1k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.575Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$3.0kat 0.581Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$2.9kat 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$2.1kat 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.607Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 20:36 | SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? | BUY | 0.817 | $212.42 |
| 09-20 18:12 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.4147920778 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 18:03 | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.002683472 | $4.70 |
| 09-20 04:46 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $72.00 |
| 09-20 04:46 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $192.00 |
| 09-20 03:39 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $899.08 |
| 09-18 17:28 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $45.00 |
| 09-08 12:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 09-07 12:30 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.18 | $234.00 |
| 09-06 19:53 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.993 | $8.94 |
| 09-02 16:51 | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.66 | $25.85 |
| 08-18 19:28 | SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $12.60 |
| 08-15 19:10 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.75 | $401.25 |
| 07-15 15:33 | UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.21 | $252.00 |
| 07-13 19:31 | UFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.23 | $10.21 |