PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

qQWQq

0x48c6fd71ba1987fedcef8f835608452dc4a7d483

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$224.1k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$6.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.7890.745$6.5k−$389.87
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? · No0.8290.965$270.19+$38.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Down0.2970.000$0.00−$97.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$2.0k
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuria0.6460.000$0.00−$5.6k
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$93.55
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$1.5k
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? · No0.7850.000$0.00−$3.8k
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$305.97
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) · Tabatha Ricci0.2050.000$0.00−$502.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00−$227.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$18.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.5010.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 20:36SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?BUY0.817$212.42
09-20 18:12Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.4147920778$200.00
09-20 18:03Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?SELL0.002683472$4.70
09-20 04:46Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.48$72.00
09-20 04:46Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.48$192.00
09-20 03:39UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$899.08
09-18 17:28Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5$45.00
09-08 12:32Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.78$23.40
09-07 12:30Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.18$234.00
09-06 19:53Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.993$8.94
09-02 16:51Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?BUY0.66$25.85
08-18 19:28SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?BUY0.988$12.60
08-15 19:10UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.75$401.25
07-15 15:33UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.21$252.00
07-13 19:31UFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.23$10.21