rtyunnnn
0x48c5730212d06edd6a7a8ef556438a443c42062b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.05
- Volume
- $153.70
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.060 | $0.78 | −$1.43 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.019 | $0.20 | −$0.17 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.17at 0.854Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$-0.05at 0.260US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$-0.08at 0.120Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$-0.24at 0.058Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.45at 0.577Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 01:54 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.88 |
| 07-20 01:53 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 06:55 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 06:54 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 06:53 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.74 |
| 06-23 02:38 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 06-23 02:31 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 06-18 04:00 | Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.80 |
| 06-18 03:58 | Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.04 |
| 06-18 03:53 | Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.04 |
| 06-17 06:57 | Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.10 |
| 06-16 12:05 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 09:10 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 06-13 09:10 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15817 | $1.58 |
| 06-08 11:47 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.65 |