IrineuVcNaoSabeNemEu
0x48b9bbd2633599a449141ce74927a52f23bab0ca
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $65.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $12.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.735 | $8.5k | +$4.15 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.583 | $2.5k | +$1.5k |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.626 | 0.730 | $721.82 | +$102.56 |
| Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.675 | $512.22 | +$12.22 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes | 0.666 | 0.795 | $329.93 | +$53.65 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.12at 0.777Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-3.7kat 0.580Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 13:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $503.39 |
| 10-03 13:24 | Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | BUY | 0.6589008099 | $500.00 |
| 10-03 13:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.592 | $1.0k |
| 09-30 15:16 | Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6477770574 | $224.79 |
| 09-30 15:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.604 | $231.89 |
| 09-29 17:45 | Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5899999977 | $94.47 |
| 09-29 17:44 | Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5435470343 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 17:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.597 | $201.05 |
| 09-19 12:06 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.6657321084 | $276.28 |
| 09-19 12:05 | Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6718635593 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 12:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7343075628 | $8.0k |
| 09-19 12:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4152783158 | $8.8k |
| 08-03 18:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599999999 | $961.18 |
| 07-28 11:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $908.95 |
| 07-27 11:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999998 | $932.41 |