ngcvngd
0x48b9b24aba1c8236e05e6399bcef57fd9a1a487d
- Realised P&L
- $17.31
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $5.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Resident Evil" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $5.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.10at 0.655Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$258.31at 0.609Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$150.15at 0.684Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$5.56at 0.477Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:24 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 07-13 05:28 | Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9979998651 | $7.00 |
| 06-30 13:52 | Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $5.40 |
| 06-30 13:52 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 05:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $413.86 |
| 04-07 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7904922759 | $325.40 |
| 04-07 04:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $335.76 |
| 04-07 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6881783845 | $228.04 |
| 04-07 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $238.78 |
| 04-07 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8551545654 | $202.25 |
| 04-07 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8028706044 | $201.33 |