PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x48B7f5DD6Ffc9F23B2674Df638672203f9d25aD1-1780525749286

0x48b7f5dd6ffc9f23b2674df638672203f9d25ad1

Realised P&L
$19.28
Volume
$488.98
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$41.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · No0.4060.350$17.24$2.76
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3500.345$12.31$0.18
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.2900.290$12.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:39Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.349999993$12.49
09-15 22:37Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.2899999954$12.00
09-15 22:01Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.4059405914$20.00
09-15 20:42Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?SELL0.99$45.67
08-22 19:12Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?BUY0.4299999927$11.24
08-22 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.459999885$2.00
08-21 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5099999966$6.00
08-21 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5099999716$7.00
08-21 23:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.5$7.00
08-21 23:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.5099999541$4.00
08-21 23:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSELL0.14$0.69
08-21 23:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.5099999816$2.50
08-21 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSELL0.7$4.51
08-21 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.619999969$4.00
08-21 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.5499999587$4.00