drowels
0x48ac1e3c558f792df2e29b5f8b7d6577b6727c01
- Realised P&L
- $-142.91
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $109.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.54at 0.490Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
- +$15.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$13.77at 0.361Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
- +$12.22at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$12.22at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 01:06 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1879964926 | $137.00 |
| 06-23 09:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.9748481817 | $112.05 |
| 05-31 18:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $24.54 |
| 05-30 10:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 05-27 06:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 05-26 20:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 20:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 05-14 08:23 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 05-14 08:22 | Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.064 | $2.56 |
| 05-14 08:22 | Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.935 | $4.68 |
| 05-14 08:21 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.04 |
| 05-14 08:21 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.059 | $12.04 |
| 05-14 08:21 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.611 | $15.28 |
| 05-14 08:21 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.387 | $27.40 |
| 05-13 18:06 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.618 | $3.09 |