0x8b688d7fe839aA2Bf17F926bA2FE87Bc1793A3cb-1731513758922
0x48a558b06941aa3034a04e45fb27bdc68d9972fb
- Realised P&L
- $20.00
- Volume
- $409.02
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $18.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.085 | $7.73 | −$42.27 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.033 | $5.47 | −$14.53 |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.045 | $5.11 | −$14.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 05:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 05-23 11:26 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.120573554 | $20.00 |
| 05-23 11:26 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.178192325 | $20.00 |
| 05-23 11:20 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5499999895 | $50.00 |