DiamondSander
0x48a19b9358d30550a8ce73ecdde2eda2a94f2e04
- Realised P&L
- $-11.27
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $174.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.455 | $103.74 | −$37.26 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No | 0.310 | 0.285 | $36.77 | −$3.23 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.280 | $33.94 | −$6.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.56at 0.280Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
- +$96.10at 0.604US military action against Iran before July?
- +$92.50at 0.393US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$76.60at 0.418Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?
- +$63.00at 0.300Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:33 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 14:32 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6166597583 | $120.00 |
| 09-14 14:31 | Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.08 |
| 09-10 18:50 | Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:49 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:17 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5150962698 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 16:00 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3903324413 | $40.00 |
| 09-01 20:18 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $236.98 |
| 09-01 16:29 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9107055385 | $220.00 |
| 08-31 14:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.3099999948 | $40.00 |
| 08-31 11:48 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9750711904 | $184.22 |
| 08-30 20:25 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 08-30 20:10 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7753117865 | $30.00 |
| 08-30 20:02 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999975 | $60.00 |
| 08-30 19:59 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5060834853 | $35.00 |