PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x489cd27dd7e4c046c93b3126a3f0faf0681b5f0a

Realised P&L
$1.67
Volume
$66.91
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$2.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? · Down0.4901.000$2.04+$1.04
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7400.585$0.79$0.21
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6400.080$0.13$0.88
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.5100.005$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 03:37S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-14 19:18Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-13 23:15Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-13 22:28Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-08 18:31Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-07 11:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-03 23:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.55$1.00
09-01 09:43Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?BUY0.2919998388$1.00
08-22 04:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.77$1.00
08-20 07:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-17 04:20Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $78 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-17 04:13Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.66$1.00
08-17 01:14Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
08-16 13:48Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.1$0.42
08-14 21:35Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.239999856$1.00