PolyBot

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Traders

0x4898983efe0daeb8f6bbcafcc9f90aebb3d8e66b

0x4898983efe0daeb8f6bbcafcc9f90aebb3d8e66b

Realised P&L
$-96.22
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$2.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0030.004$1.50+$0.50
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0900.031$1.03−$1.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 18:36Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?BUY0.1799999909$15.00
05-04 19:34Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
03-03 13:04Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.03$15.00
02-28 23:41Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?SELL0.1094$10.94
02-28 23:41Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.82$4.76
02-26 11:41Will JD Vance say "Six Seven" in Wisconsin on Thursday?BUY0.07$7.00
02-23 20:32US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?BUY0.0225150266$2.00
02-20 23:28Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
02-16 19:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
02-16 19:48Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.002$1.00
02-16 19:42Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.18$5.29
02-16 19:42Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$8.33
02-02 21:43Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?SELL0.32$2.81
01-23 21:33Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.4099999289$3.00
01-14 12:23Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$5.00