0x9004403F0eb7992a2162B6cF9EF69e2bB6Ea2eb8-1760610795010
0x4890fff6134c12fabf54b5f13955fc4eaf5a7e28
- Realised P&L
- $-10.78
- Volume
- $887.42
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Noam be in the next Israeli government? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.011 | $1.46 | −$2.54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.82at 0.392Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?
- +$0.00at 0.270Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.06at 0.160Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.86at 0.005Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 23:39 | Will Noam be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.0293595324 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 23:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.40 |
| 10-20 20:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999576 | $1.40 |
| 10-20 20:03 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.94 |
| 10-20 19:53 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 19:52 | Will AEK win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 10-20 19:49 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 19:46 | Will AEK win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 19:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.95 |
| 10-20 19:31 | Will Noam be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 19:26 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0303030303 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.037037037 | $5.00 |