yzj123
0x4887346d668ed62ae5d273c1dfa3a0ad9de2a4fd
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.215 | $542.17 | −$16.20 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.055 | $440.69 | −$87.17 |
| Plague case in US by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.130 | $92.86 | −$7.14 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.026 | $91.21 | −$18.82 |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.160 | $89.51 | −$10.49 |
| US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.095 | $87.04 | −$12.96 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.018 | $61.34 | −$38.66 |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $61.11 | −$38.89 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 11:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.029 | $10.03 |
| 10-08 11:36 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.06 | $186.00 |
| 10-08 07:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.25 | $80.00 |
| 10-08 07:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.07 | $49.96 |
| 10-07 16:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.07 | $86.91 |
| 10-07 16:05 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.22 | $140.38 |
| 10-07 15:35 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0293429239 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 15:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 14:56 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0323008579 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 14:55 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 14:55 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.2156862743 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 14:49 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.1787441436 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 14:47 | Plague case in US by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 14:44 | US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? | BUY | 0.1091491976 | $100.00 |