PolyBot

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Traders

0x488459512c3a768b1f9a34674fd0bda3510764bb

0x488459512c3a768b1f9a34674fd0bda3510764bb

Realised P&L
$65.13
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$27.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? · No0.9901.000$20.58+$0.20
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2800.260$5.20$0.40
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.1900.076$1.52$2.28
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 03:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23?BUY0.99$20.38
09-22 15:39Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.9750113558$594.00
09-22 01:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.995934219$599.40
09-21 17:06Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.999$599.40
09-21 13:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?BUY0.9087636148$9.50
09-21 12:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?BUY0.9199999961$9.50
09-21 10:51Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.98$149.49
09-21 09:22Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 21?BUY0.9675405347$149.49
09-21 04:50Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.9977544549$599.40
09-20 07:01Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 20?BUY0.99$6.93
09-20 06:02Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.9949660709$149.85
09-20 06:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.999$149.85
09-20 05:32Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.999$37.45
09-20 05:01Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.999$103.39
09-20 04:52Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 20?BUY0.999$36.54