PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

europeanPilchard

0x488302f499444006af96438ab91037f6c199a66c

Realised P&L
$-0.33
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$4.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17? · Yes0.9951.000$2.64+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 17? · Yes0.9901.000$1.80+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 16:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 17?BUY0.99$1.78
10-15 16:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17?BUY0.995$2.63
08-29 05:42Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.984$1.73
08-29 05:41Will Solana reach $140 in August?BUY0.996$2.75
08-22 19:29Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9659999928$2.41
08-12 20:03Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 10-16?BUY0.032$1.32
08-12 20:01Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 10-16?BUY0.9809999969$2.55
08-05 01:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?BUY0.9779997878$2.24
08-05 01:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?BUY0.9919997262$2.84
07-29 23:27Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9969999992$2.63
07-24 22:30Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 20-26?BUY0.9859999237$2.61
07-24 22:29Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?BUY0.9909999973$1.49
07-09 23:57Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?BUY0.9789999883$1.00
07-09 23:56Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?BUY0.9589999937$4.09
07-02 14:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 3?BUY0.9939999991$4.19