0x4870e9309f9c16779c4194c3ae202c3264b98594
0x4870e9309f9c16779c4194c3ae202c3264b98594
- Realised P&L
- $86.38
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Copenhagen Wolves vs VP.Future 3 (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs · VP.Future 3 | 0.140 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.56at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$337.45at 0.112Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$142.53at 0.611Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$43.50at 0.655Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$31.83at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 11:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.21 |
| 10-13 11:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $0.39 |
| 10-13 11:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999364 | $1.15 |
| 10-13 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998172 | $1.16 |
| 10-13 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $0.28 |
| 10-13 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.27 |
| 10-13 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999618 | $1.14 |
| 10-13 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.19 |
| 10-13 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $1.46 |
| 10-13 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999736 | $1.15 |
| 10-13 11:25 | M15 Offenbach: Tom Zeuch vs Jelle Sels | SELL | 0.999 | $1.93 |
| 10-13 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999234 | $1.17 |
| 10-13 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $0.71 |
| 10-13 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999873 | $1.16 |
| 10-13 11:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $0.77 |