b57
0x48654b3e2eed713e2525cc2fe2f783c3a2e9904d
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $303.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,837
- Open portfolio
- $246.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,837
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No | 0.438 | 0.495 | $225.91 | +$25.94 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.180 | $12.49 | −$3.28 |
| Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.505 | $5.05 | −$1.95 |
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.760 | $1.17 | +$0.00 |
| Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.370 | $1.09 | −$0.12 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.525 | $0.53 | −$0.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.260 | 0.255 | $0.35 | −$0.01 |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $0.29 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$419.98at 0.658Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Julieta Pareja
- +$365.03at 0.591Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva
- +$356.87at 0.596Miyazaki: Omar Jasika vs Li Tu
- +$356.08at 0.596Sao Leopoldo: Tomas Barrios vs Murkel Dellien
- +$347.37at 0.600US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrin
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:28 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.7479647117 | $36.75 |
| 09-18 15:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5199999984 | $76.85 |
| 09-18 15:05 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.718308477 | $105.12 |
| 09-18 12:15 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-18 12:12 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-18 12:11 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.788 | $3.94 |
| 09-18 12:08 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-18 12:07 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.64 |
| 09-18 12:05 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.729999997 | $28.86 |
| 09-18 12:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.715 | $7.15 |
| 09-18 12:01 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.7194624162 | $40.15 |
| 09-18 11:56 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3986735784 | $29.52 |
| 09-18 11:56 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.705 | $7.05 |
| 09-18 11:47 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-18 09:49 | Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | BUY | 0.7599999941 | $41.08 |