WildManul
0x4861333e81d6a0834a241962c83808bd07c89acf
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $184.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,983
- Open portfolio
- $917.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,983
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$456.28at 0.769LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$133.31at 0.750LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
- +$133.20at 0.760LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$115.00at 0.540Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- +$113.77at 0.745Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:10 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.307 | $2.79 |
| 11-01 22:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.33 | $42.87 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.256 | $7.68 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.256 | $4.68 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.73 | $29.46 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.04 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | SELL | 0.6083187919 | $163.15 |
| 11-01 19:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 11-01 19:22 | Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $337.41 |
| 11-01 18:59 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 11-01 18:37 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | SELL | 0.72 | $352.08 |
| 11-01 18:25 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 11-01 17:28 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 17:28 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |