MLJBASEBALL
0x48611e62b91a2a0cf8de06d2c9374d2920483aae
- Realised P&L
- $42.7k
- Volume
- $783.7k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $689.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.070 | $689.41 | −$604.96 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Seattle Mariners | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds · Baltimore Orioles | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers · Baltimore Orioles | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Los Angeles Angels | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals · Chicago Cubs | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Baltimore Orioles | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.7kat 0.178Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$4.9kat 0.422San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$4.4kat 0.412New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$3.3kat 0.412Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$3.3kat 0.412Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:24 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0667543182 | $1.0k |
| 10-06 00:54 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.61 | $2.4k |
| 10-05 13:07 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $93.35 |
| 10-05 01:07 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1334474111 | $1.2k |
| 09-29 17:23 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.30986066 | $4.6k |
| 09-29 17:22 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1736055921 | $4.2k |
| 09-27 19:38 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.54 | $3.5k |
| 09-27 19:37 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.65 | $3.5k |
| 09-26 02:40 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.41 | $3.6k |
| 09-25 02:39 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.41 | $3.5k |
| 09-24 23:01 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.49 | $2.5k |
| 09-24 02:32 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.58 | $3.5k |
| 09-23 18:07 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.45 | $3.6k |
| 09-22 23:48 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.68 | $3.5k |
| 09-22 23:35 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.54 | $3.5k |