subul
0x4860d6d7b6d1602dc969cec70cd249fbeac5bef6
- Realised P&L
- $-79.14
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.002 | $0.57 | −$24.43 |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? · No | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.08 |
| Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.21at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$-5.18at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 08:36 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? | BUY | 0.0656855591 | $25.00 |
| 09-09 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 12:08 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 12:03 | Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? | BUY | 0.045 | $19.08 |