PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

louts

0x485f5a0c4703af8ef22fe58d20e4921fb8bfbcca

Realised P&L
$468.57
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$123.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 18? · No0.9800.990$46.25+$0.44
Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 20? · No0.9940.995$41.36+$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? · No0.9430.986$35.54+$1.55
Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025) · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$5.85
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 10? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$2.79
Will Hong Kong record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$5.15
Will Solana reach $160 December 8-14? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$6.14
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$5.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29? · No0.0570.000$0.00$6.95
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 14? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$7.21
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 13? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$5.58
Will "Hamnet" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$4.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 9? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.90
Miami-Hamilton Harriers vs. Ohio Bobcats · Miami-Hamilton Harriers0.0300.000$0.00$3.94
Lindsey Wilson College Blue Raiders vs. Murray State Racers (W) · Lindsey Wilson College Blue Raiders0.0420.000$0.00$5.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 04:27Will Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?BUY0.11$40.12
04-02 17:35Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-07?BUY0.26$184.89
03-26 03:20Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?BUY0.26$45.15
03-02 04:16Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 5?BUY0.062$14.14
02-28 14:05Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 4?BUY0.1$21.42
02-19 14:08Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.9809999953$184.48
02-18 19:44Will "Hamnet" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?BUY0.034$4.39
02-18 11:13Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $205?BUY0.031$3.79
02-18 09:41Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 20?BUY0.011$3.15
02-16 23:08Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?BUY0.026$5.66
02-16 20:33Will Hong Kong record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.031$5.15
02-16 09:21Will Laura Loomer win the GA-14 special election?BUY0.033$3.50
02-16 03:18Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 15 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?BUY0.027$4.87
02-10 11:29Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-02-13?BUY0.048$10.01
01-28 00:05Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of January?BUY0.017$3.00