louts
0x485f5a0c4703af8ef22fe58d20e4921fb8bfbcca
- Realised P&L
- $468.57
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $123.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$526.23at 0.260Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-07?
- +$128.49at 0.260Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
- +$73.90at 0.261Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$58.09at 0.740Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5
- +$38.43at 0.830Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,135,000 and $1,145,000 on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 04:27 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24? | BUY | 0.11 | $40.12 |
| 04-02 17:35 | Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.26 | $184.89 |
| 03-26 03:20 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $45.15 |
| 03-02 04:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 5? | BUY | 0.062 | $14.14 |
| 02-28 14:05 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $21.42 |
| 02-19 14:08 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9809999953 | $184.48 |
| 02-18 19:44 | Will "Hamnet" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.034 | $4.39 |
| 02-18 11:13 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $205? | BUY | 0.031 | $3.79 |
| 02-18 09:41 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 20? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.15 |
| 02-16 23:08 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.66 |
| 02-16 20:33 | Will Hong Kong record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.031 | $5.15 |
| 02-16 09:21 | Will Laura Loomer win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.033 | $3.50 |
| 02-16 03:18 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 15 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000? | BUY | 0.027 | $4.87 |
| 02-10 11:29 | Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-02-13? | BUY | 0.048 | $10.01 |
| 01-28 00:05 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of January? | BUY | 0.017 | $3.00 |