0x485acb3e20e507c8cab25e65f0ddd38e010e7de2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.16
- Volume
- $98.62
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $14.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.585 | $4.87 | +$2.87 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.997 | $3.02 | +$1.02 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.915 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.625 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.208 | $1.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.022 | $0.18 | −$1.82 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.56at 0.490Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.11at 0.630Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.690Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
- +$0.71at 0.740Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$0.67at 0.780Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:04 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 01:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:53 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | BUY | 0.2819999219 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 08:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 00:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 15:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:08 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 21:08 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 13:06 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.7799997367 | $2.37 |
| 07-31 04:36 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 12:05 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.89 |
| 07-28 07:26 | Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.4899999118 | $1.50 |
| 07-27 22:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |