PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x485acb3e20e507c8cab25e65f0ddd38e010e7de2

Realised P&L
$-3.16
Volume
$98.62
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$14.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2400.585$4.87+$2.87
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6600.997$3.02+$1.02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7900.915$2.32+$0.32
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5600.625$2.23+$0.23
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? · Yes0.2820.208$1.48$0.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2500.022$0.18$1.82
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2700.001$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:04Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
08-03 01:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-02 17:53Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.2819999219$2.00
08-02 08:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.479999952$2.00
08-02 00:01Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-01 15:59Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
08-01 15:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
08-01 05:08New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 21:08Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 13:06Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.7799997367$2.37
07-31 04:36New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-30 12:05Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999626$1.53
07-29 11:47Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.63$1.89
07-28 07:26Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.4899999118$1.50
07-27 22:22Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95