PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Golu13

0x4856a3b5b208a17759d441049700801f162086de

Realised P&L
$598.13
Volume
$24.3k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$460.83

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.6740.934$138.56+$38.56
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7130.675$47.34$2.66
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? · Yes0.3600.680$37.78+$17.78
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.5301.000$37.72+$17.72
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5750.625$32.61+$2.61
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.1250.105$25.26$4.74
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? · No0.6600.715$21.67+$1.67
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9521.000$20.99+$0.99
Will Shrek 5 be delayed? · No0.7800.740$18.97$1.03
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6200.570$18.38$1.62
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3680.085$17.30$57.70
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.235$15.16$4.84
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5300.565$10.66+$0.66
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0230.024$10.25+$0.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.4800.055$3.44$26.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 02:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
07-29 04:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?BUY0.0393222385$3.00
07-25 17:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.48$30.00
07-25 17:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
07-24 12:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.5404699019$20.00
07-24 09:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.4769999884$10.00
07-24 09:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.4765234731$10.00
07-24 09:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.4761597045$17.00
07-24 09:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.4765234731$10.00
07-24 03:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?BUY0.819999982$20.00
07-24 03:20Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.5767196368$10.00
07-24 03:20Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.9009999975$20.00
07-23 19:00Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.7128712839$50.00
07-23 18:59Iran full airspace closure by July 24?BUY0.8499999983$50.00
07-23 18:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.7099999918$20.00