0x4855049682b990d114256e6130829241064d6a41
0x4855049682b990d114256e6130829241064d6a41
- Realised P&L
- $-845.18
- Volume
- $68.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,022
- Open portfolio
- $57.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,022
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia vs. Alabama · Alabama | 0.530 | 0.525 | $49.52 | −$0.47 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.460 | 0.455 | $7.91 | −$0.09 |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5) · Chicago Sky | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5 · Over | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. SIUE Cougars: O/U 127.5 · Under | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.80 |
| Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire · Seattle Storm | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 142.5 · Under | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.30 |
| Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5) · Kansas Jayhawks | 0.532 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.601 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.40 |
| Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) · Connecticut Sun | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 153.5 · Over | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5) · Washington Mystics | 0.567 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-5.5) · Minnesota Golden Gophers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) · Packers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Spread: Akron Zips (-8.5) · Akron Zips | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.42at 0.488Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)
- +$62.81at 0.542Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
- +$59.84at 0.562Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)
- +$59.66at 0.521Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-1.5)
- +$59.42at 0.505Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 10:17 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.46 | $8.00 |
| 10-06 03:21 | Spread: Saints (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $38.85 |
| 10-05 22:09 | Spread: Saints (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 22:09 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.47 | $6.85 |
| 10-05 20:08 | Spread: Saints (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 19:59 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 19:59 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 19:36 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.48 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:36 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.42 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 12:47 | Georgia vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.53 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 12:36 | Georgia vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.53 | $17.00 |
| 10-05 03:52 | Georgia vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.53 | $21.00 |
| 10-05 03:48 | Spread: Lions (-4.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $18.82 |
| 10-04 23:57 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-04 23:51 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |