Valentinefg
0x4853e6fa8ad5a082c6f386f2e268884e8e9c2654
- Realised P&L
- $15.14
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $17.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $17.34 | −$0.34 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.44 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.70at 0.500Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
- +$317.44at 0.500Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$315.23at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in April 2026?
- +$98.80at 0.500Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?
- +$26.61at 0.437Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:10 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $31.97 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $17.68 |
| 09-17 08:09 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.00 |
| 08-26 09:10 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.66 | $22.44 |
| 08-20 11:53 | LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | BUY | 0.72 | $25.92 |
| 08-10 09:32 | Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw? | BUY | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 07-11 01:59 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.645 | $14.84 |
| 07-11 01:59 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.355 | $8.16 |
| 07-11 01:58 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3575 | $8.22 |
| 07-10 08:39 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.66 | $18.81 |
| 06-24 07:15 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.98 |
| 06-24 07:15 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.43 | $20.34 |
| 06-24 07:13 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 05-21 12:21 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $26.95 |
| 05-21 12:21 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.57 | $20.12 |