PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

secret12

0x4851756873088decbb17724b7bf160c8846b96b3

Realised P&L
$-56.71
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$8.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.821$8.64+$0.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.5820.000$0.00−$14.08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$6.91
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$10.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 12:15Will Ritual launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999886$8.00
05-29 15:34Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.419999994$25.00
05-21 20:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.8699999953$22.30
04-23 09:45Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?BUY0.82$18.34
02-01 20:09Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.5734831319$13.66
01-31 09:23Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-31?BUY0.8699999922$12.25
01-27 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.8$9.73
01-20 20:30Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?SELL0.04$9.86
01-20 15:24Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?BUY0.2599999975$64.08
01-19 11:33Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.5$31.53
01-18 18:30Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.625$12.16
01-17 10:59Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSELL0.7349597024$23.71
01-17 10:45Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5430942936$17.25
01-16 20:19Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.75$19.81
01-16 20:16Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.4399999925$11.44