PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

defressed

0x484f5bc86d08f0a3a0f6d3dd741651e16e20de32

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$87.6k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$779.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 · Under0.5200.525$518.70+$4.94
Will France win on 2026-10-05? · No0.3300.355$261.28+$18.40
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-06? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$630.00
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round · Aurora0.5800.000$0.00−$507.50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A · Spirit0.8800.000$0.00−$412.58
Spread: Rams (-2.5) · Rams0.4800.000$0.00−$1.9k
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$1.3k
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Ravena Oliveira0.2300.000$0.00−$4.52
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage · BoomBoys0.5300.000$0.00−$314.82
Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$1.6k
Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-08-25? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$520.41
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$760.00
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$28.70
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-09? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$480.00
Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$65.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 18:13England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5BUY0.52$218.40
10-03 18:12England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5BUY0.52$295.36
10-03 17:42Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.003$0.75
10-01 22:07Will France win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.33$242.88
09-30 22:55Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group DSELL0.44$704.00
09-30 08:28Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group DBUY0.45$720.00
09-30 08:21Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.489975$49.00
09-30 08:21Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.48$23.52
09-30 08:21Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.4799882353$24.48
09-30 08:20Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.47$23.97
09-29 18:03Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.53$265.53
09-29 17:59Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.54$813.24
09-28 18:29Will France win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.56$1.4k
09-27 20:51Spread: Rams (-2.5)BUY0.48$722.88
09-27 20:42Spread: Rams (-2.5)BUY0.48$1.2k