defressed
0x484f5bc86d08f0a3a0f6d3dd741651e16e20de32
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $87.6k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $779.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.460Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
- +$1.0kat 0.280Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun
- +$950.00at 0.620Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?
- +$902.75at 0.550Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$792.83at 0.760Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 18:13 | England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $218.40 |
| 10-03 18:12 | England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $295.36 |
| 10-03 17:42 | Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 10-01 22:07 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.33 | $242.88 |
| 09-30 22:55 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | SELL | 0.44 | $704.00 |
| 09-30 08:28 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | BUY | 0.45 | $720.00 |
| 09-30 08:21 | Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.489975 | $49.00 |
| 09-30 08:21 | Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.48 | $23.52 |
| 09-30 08:21 | Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.4799882353 | $24.48 |
| 09-30 08:20 | Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.47 | $23.97 |
| 09-29 18:03 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $265.53 |
| 09-29 17:59 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $813.24 |
| 09-28 18:29 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.4k |
| 09-27 20:51 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $722.88 |
| 09-27 20:42 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.2k |