0x484c42F86C43C1D350E8e8b934A9c6c7dFe09E74-1769938150786
0x484c42f86c43c1d350e8e8b934a9c6c7dfe09e74
- Realised P&L
- $-147.54
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $161.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.36at 0.110Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$106.58at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$42.57at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$22.26at 0.310XRP Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$2.30at 0.540XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 17:49 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | BUY | 0.0795205705 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 17:47 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 21:09 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 21:09 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 21:09 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 21:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 21:07 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999923 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 06-24 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |
| 06-24 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999938 | $25.00 |
| 06-24 09:43 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.060574582 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 09:42 | XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |