PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x484c42F86C43C1D350E8e8b934A9c6c7dFe09E74-1769938150786

0x484c42f86c43c1d350e8e8b934a9c6c7dfe09e74

Realised P&L
$-168.38
Volume
$16.1k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$11.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.050$6.25−$3.75
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.035$4.93−$5.07
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$10.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$10.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$10.00
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$20.00
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00−$149.50
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$15.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$20.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.0490.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 17:49Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?BUY0.0795205705$10.00
07-12 17:47Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-08 21:09Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
07-08 21:09Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
07-08 21:090 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
07-08 21:08Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
07-08 21:07Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0389999923$5.00
06-24 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
06-24 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.2199999944$25.00
06-24 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.04$5.00
06-24 10:02Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.04$5.00
06-24 09:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.1899999944$25.00
06-24 09:51Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.3699999938$25.00
06-24 09:43Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.060574582$5.00
06-24 09:42XRP Up or Down - June 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.54$2.70